Milan vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 4
BOL
79%
13%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 0
ASS
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
INT
1 - 1
ACM
34%
23%
43%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
ACM
4 - 1
COM
89%
8%
3%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
ASS
1 - 4
ACM
29%
22%
49%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
FIO
2 - 1
PAD
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
PAD
3 - 1
BRE
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
PAD
1 - 0
VIC
66%
19%
16%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
PAD
2 - 1
VNZ
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAD
42%
26%
33%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |