Milan vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.68
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.8%
4.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
SPA
1 - 2
ACM
20%
22%
58%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
ACM
3 - 2
NAP
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ACM
2 - 1
INT
66%
17%
17%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
BOL
0 - 0
ACM
22%
22%
56%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
ACM
4 - 1
TOR
82%
11%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
TRI
2 - 1
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
PAD
1 - 1
FIO
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
LAZ
5 - 0
PAD
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
PAD
2 - 1
UNI
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
ATL
1 - 1
PAD
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |