Milan vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
JUV
1 - 1
ACM
59%
20%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
ACM
5 - 1
MOD
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1949 |
NOV
1 - 2
ACM
23%
24%
54%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
ACM
3 - 1
FIO
75%
15%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
TOR
4 - 1
ACM
82%
11%
8%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
PAD
1 - 3
SAM
43%
23%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
ASL
4 - 0
PAD
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
PAD
2 - 1
LIV
55%
22%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
PRO
3 - 0
PAD
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ATL
0 - 1
PAD
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |