Milan vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.1%
10.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1933 |
ACM
4 - 0
BRE
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
ACM
3 - 1
LIV
72%
16%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
BOL
2 - 1
ACM
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
ACM
4 - 2
LAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1933 |
PAD
2 - 0
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
LAZ
3 - 2
PAD
53%
23%
25%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
PAD
1 - 2
INT
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
USA
3 - 0
PAD
64%
18%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
PAD
1 - 1
LIV
56%
21%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |