Milan vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
10.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1930 |
USA
2 - 1
ACM
31%
22%
48%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
USC
0 - 3
ACM
20%
20%
60%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ACM
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
ACM
2 - 2
LIV
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1930 |
PAD
2 - 1
LAZ
28%
21%
51%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
PAD
5 - 0
LEO
46%
23%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
PAD
0 - 0
GEN
23%
21%
57%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
BOL
1 - 2
PAD
83%
11%
7%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
PAD
1 - 2
INT
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |