Milan vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
REG
1 - 4
ACM
14%
23%
63%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
ACM
5 - 0
TRE
82%
13%
5%
|
93 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ACM
26%
25%
49%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2006 |
PAL
3 - 0
ACM
20%
26%
55%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
ACM
1 - 1
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CAG
0 - 0
LEC
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
ROM
4 - 3
CAG
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CAG
4 - 1
EMP
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MES
1 - 0
CAG
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CAG
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |