Milan vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1973 |
ATL
0 - 2
ACM
18%
25%
57%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
VER
5 - 3
ACM
13%
27%
59%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1973 |
ACM
1 - 0
LEE
62%
19%
19%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
ACM
3 - 1
BOL
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
TOR
2 - 2
ACM
31%
29%
40%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1973 |
CAG
1 - 1
NAP
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
BOL
4 - 2
CAG
51%
27%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
CAG
1 - 0
TOR
53%
27%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
NAP
1 - 1
CAG
40%
31%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
CAG
1 - 1
VER
70%
20%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |