Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 4-1
Milan vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
20.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
19.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
26.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.7%
4.5%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1991 |
ACM
0 - 0
PAR
75%
18%
8%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
BAR
2 - 1
ACM
19%
29%
53%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
ACM
6 - 0
BOL
74%
18%
8%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
JUV
0 - 3
ACM
49%
26%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
ACM
1 - 1
ROM
55%
25%
20%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
PES
1 - 0
BRE
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
BRE
2 - 0
PES
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
SSB
1 - 1
BRE
41%
32%
27%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
BRE
2 - 1
ASL
46%
30%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
REG
1 - 1
BRE
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |