Milan vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1974 |
USF
0 - 0
ACM
20%
25%
56%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
ACM
1 - 1
BOL
67%
21%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1974 |
MAG
2 - 0
ACM
64%
18%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
GEN
0 - 1
ACM
19%
24%
57%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1974 |
INT
2 - 1
ACM
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 3
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 1
FCC
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 3
BRE
58%
26%
16%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 1
BAR
62%
26%
13%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
ASC
2 - 0
BRE
65%
23%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |