Milan vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
FIO
1 - 0
ACM
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
ACM
1 - 0
LEO
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1935 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACM
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
ACM
4 - 4
ROM
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
JUV
1 - 0
ACM
79%
13%
8%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
BRE
2 - 1
ROM
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
JUV
0 - 0
BRE
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1935 |
USA
1 - 0
BRE
63%
18%
18%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
BRE
1 - 1
BOL
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
TRI
3 - 0
BRE
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |