Milan vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
ACM
3 - 1
LIV
72%
16%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
BOL
2 - 1
ACM
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
ACM
4 - 2
LAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 0
ACM
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 1
PAL
56%
22%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
LEO
2 - 1
BRE
54%
21%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 0
TOR
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
BRE
39%
23%
38%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 0
ROM
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |