Milan vs Brescia analysis


81	ELO	75
0.9%	Tilt	0%
10º	General ELO ranking	437º
5º	Country ELO ranking	30º
ELO win probability

66.3%

Milan

18%

Draw

15.7%

Brescia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

66.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%

18%

Draw

0-0

3%

1-1

8%

2-2

5.2%

3-3

1.5%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

18%

15.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+2%

-9%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches