Milan vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
REG
0 - 0
ACM
20%
26%
54%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
RMA
3 - 1
ACM
70%
18%
13%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
ACM
0 - 0
CHI
73%
18%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ACM
3 - 3
ATL
71%
19%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
LOK
0 - 1
ACM
36%
26%
38%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
BVB
2 - 0
HAN
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
BVB
3 - 0
LOK
57%
25%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
MON
1 - 0
BVB
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
BVB
2 - 0
ROS
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
BVB
1 - 1
RMA
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |