Milan vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1969 |
TOR
1 - 0
ACM
44%
27%
29%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
VIC
1 - 1
ACM
25%
31%
44%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
CEL
0 - 1
ACM
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
ACM
0 - 0
ATL
78%
16%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
INT
1 - 1
ACM
50%
26%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
BOL
1 - 0
ATL
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
BOL
0 - 0
FIO
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
BOL
1 - 1
JUV
47%
27%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
VER
5 - 1
BOL
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |