Milan vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 0
ASS
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
INT
1 - 1
ACM
34%
23%
43%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
ACM
4 - 1
COM
89%
8%
3%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
ASS
1 - 4
ACM
29%
22%
49%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
ACM
3 - 2
INT
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 3
BOL
34%
24%
42%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
SPA
6 - 2
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
REG
0 - 0
BOL
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
4 - 3
MOD
83%
11%
6%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
2 - 1
SPA
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |