Milan vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1953 |
ACM
5 - 1
TOR
81%
11%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
FIO
0 - 3
ACM
29%
24%
47%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
COM
3 - 1
ACM
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ACM
1 - 2
JUV
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ACM
31%
24%
45%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1953 |
UDI
0 - 2
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
BOL
1 - 1
LAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
TRI
1 - 0
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
NAP
4 - 1
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
BOL
2 - 1
FIO
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |