Milan vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9%
5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
PAD
1 - 2
ACM
28%
23%
50%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
ACM
2 - 3
INT
72%
15%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
COM
2 - 2
ACM
27%
21%
52%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
ACM
4 - 0
GEN
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
JUV
1 - 1
ACM
60%
19%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
BOL
5 - 2
PRO
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
UDI
2 - 1
BOL
48%
24%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
ATL
2 - 0
BOL
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
BOL
0 - 5
JUV
33%
24%
43%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
COM
2 - 1
BOL
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |