Milan vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
LAZ
4 - 2
ACM
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
ACM
0 - 1
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
ACL
2 - 2
ACM
35%
23%
42%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
VNZ
1 - 3
ACM
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
TRI
0 - 1
ACM
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
BOL
1 - 2
VIC
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
FIO
0 - 1
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
BOL
4 - 2
ROM
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
BOL
2 - 2
JUV
62%
19%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
LIV
1 - 0
BOL
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |