Milan vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
LIV
0 - 2
ACM
42%
25%
34%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
ACM
3 - 1
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 0
ACM
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
ACM
3 - 1
INT
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
BOL
3 - 0
NOV
83%
11%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
LAZ
1 - 2
BOL
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
TOR
1 - 1
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 1
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
BAR
2 - 2
BOL
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |