Milan vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1933 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
ACM
3 - 3
USA
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
FIO
5 - 1
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
ACM
2 - 1
LEO
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1933 |
USA
2 - 0
BOL
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
BOL
7 - 0
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
NAP
2 - 1
BOL
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
BOL
2 - 1
INT
62%
20%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 0
BOL
40%
23%
36%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |