Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-3
Milan vs Real Betis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
JUV
1 - 1
ACM
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
ACM
2 - 2
GEN
73%
17%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
BET
2 - 0
ACM
44%
27%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
FIO
1 - 1
ACM
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1977 |
ACM
2 - 0
INT
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
BET
3 - 0
CAD
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
ATM
1 - 1
BET
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
BET
2 - 0
ACM
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
BET
0 - 0
FCB
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
ATH
0 - 0
BET
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |