Champions League Last 16
Global 5-2
Milan vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
ACM
3 - 0
EMP
80%
14%
7%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
PAL
0 - 2
ACM
21%
24%
55%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2006 |
BYM
1 - 1
ACM
53%
24%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAG
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
REG
1 - 4
ACM
14%
23%
63%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
BYM
1 - 2
HSV
69%
19%
13%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
BYM
5 - 2
EIN
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2006 |
BYM
1 - 1
ACM
53%
24%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
HAN
1 - 1
BYM
16%
22%
62%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BYM
2 - 1
FCN
78%
15%
8%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |