Milan vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ACM
2 - 1
ROM
61%
21%
18%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 2
ACM
44%
26%
31%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 2
ACM
21%
25%
54%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACM
2 - 0
LEC
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
ARS
3 - 0
ACM
51%
24%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MLL
0 - 2
FCB
7%
17%
75%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
5 - 3
GRA
94%
5%
1%
|
98 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SEV
0 - 2
FCB
13%
20%
67%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 2
FCB
5%
16%
79%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
7 - 1
LEV
87%
9%
4%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |