Milan vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.3%
13.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
ROM
2 - 1
ACM
20%
22%
58%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
ACM
1 - 2
LAZ
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
FIO
1 - 1
ACM
29%
23%
48%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
ACM
3 - 3
ATL
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
PRO
0 - 0
ACM
20%
21%
59%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1951 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
63%
18%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
ATM
0 - 1
RMA
76%
13%
12%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1951 |
ATM
4 - 0
VAD
85%
9%
6%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
VAD
4 - 3
ATM
42%
22%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
SEV
1 - 1
ATM
57%
19%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |