Europa League 1/16
Global 3-0
Milan vs Athlone Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASC
75%
17%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
ATH
0 - 0
ACM
22%
25%
54%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 1
ACM
38%
26%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAM
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
PRG
0 - 0
ACM
15%
25%
60%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
ATH
0 - 0
ACM
22%
25%
54%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
VIF
1 - 1
ATH
77%
13%
10%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1975 |
ATH
3 - 1
VIF
45%
22%
33%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +2 |