Milan vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
ACM
7 - 2
RAP
69%
16%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
LAZ
2 - 3
ACM
24%
22%
54%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
ACM
3 - 0
BOL
79%
13%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1956 |
RAP
1 - 1
ACM
59%
17%
24%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
TOR
1 - 1
ACM
25%
22%
53%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
ATL
4 - 1
PRO
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
PAD
5 - 1
ATL
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
NOV
2 - 1
ATL
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1956 |
ATL
3 - 0
VIC
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
ROM
3 - 2
ATL
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |