Milan vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
5.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
PAL
1 - 4
ACM
26%
24%
50%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
NAP
0 - 1
ACM
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
ACM
4 - 0
TRI
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
31%
24%
45%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ACM
0 - 0
NOV
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
ATL
1 - 1
NOV
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
45%
25%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
ATL
1 - 1
ROM
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
NAP
6 - 3
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ATL
0 - 2
INT
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |