Milan vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
ACL
2 - 2
ACM
35%
23%
42%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
VNZ
1 - 3
ACM
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
TRI
0 - 1
ACM
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
ACM
1 - 1
VIC
81%
12%
8%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
FIO
3 - 0
ACM
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
ATL
2 - 2
VIC
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
ATL
2 - 1
ROM
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
9%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
ATL
0 - 2
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
LIV
1 - 1
ATL
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |