Milan vs ACO Liguria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
TOR
0 - 1
ACM
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
ACM
1 - 2
VNZ
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
ACM
2 - 0
TRI
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
VIC
1 - 1
ACM
35%
22%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
ACM
1 - 3
FIO
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
ACL
3 - 1
VIC
51%
22%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
FIO
5 - 1
ACL
74%
15%
12%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
GEN
3 - 0
ACL
79%
13%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
ACL
1 - 0
JUV
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
LIV
3 - 1
ACL
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |