Milan vs ACO Liguria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
TOR
1 - 0
ACM
64%
19%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1941 |
ACM
2 - 2
TRI
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
VNZ
2 - 0
ACM
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
ACM
1 - 3
ATL
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
FIO
4 - 3
ACM
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
ACL
0 - 3
ROM
46%
25%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1941 |
GEN
1 - 1
ACL
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
ACL
2 - 1
JUV
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
BOL
2 - 2
ACL
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
ACL
2 - 1
NAP
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |