Milan vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
ACM
3 - 1
USF
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
VER
0 - 1
ACM
17%
28%
55%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1992 |
ACM
5 - 0
NAP
59%
24%
17%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ACM
23%
28%
49%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1991 |
ACM
1 - 1
VER
75%
18%
7%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
ASC
0 - 4
TOR
31%
31%
39%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
PAR
2 - 0
ASC
55%
27%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1992 |
ASC
1 - 1
ROM
22%
27%
52%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
VER
1 - 0
ASC
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
ASC
2 - 2
BAR
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |