Milan vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
ASC
1 - 1
ACM
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
ACM
0 - 1
PAR
84%
12%
5%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
SSB
0 - 3
ACM
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
TRI
0 - 1
ACM
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
ACM
1 - 0
SSS
84%
12%
5%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
ASC
1 - 1
ACM
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
ASC
1 - 0
SSS
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
PAR
2 - 0
ASC
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
ASC
2 - 1
SSB
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
TRI
2 - 1
ASC
46%
25%
28%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |