Milan vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
BAR
1 - 1
ACM
23%
28%
49%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
ACM
0 - 0
PES
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
ASS
1 - 2
ACM
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
ACM
3 - 1
RIM
75%
18%
7%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
LAZ
0 - 2
ACM
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
VAR
0 - 0
USF
49%
29%
22%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
PIS
1 - 0
VAR
55%
28%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 0
VER
54%
29%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
SAM
2 - 1
VAR
69%
21%
10%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 1
ASS
51%
29%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |