Milan vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
INT
2 - 2
ACM
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
ACM
1 - 0
PIA
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACM
59%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAG
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
ACM
2 - 1
VNZ
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
PAR
2 - 1
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 0
INT
25%
28%
47%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAG
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
UDI
4 - 0
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
BAR
0 - 0
VIC
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |