Milan vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1987 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAM
44%
29%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
UDI
0 - 0
ACM
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
ACM
0 - 0
COM
61%
24%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
ACM
4 - 1
ROM
33%
30%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
NAP
2 - 1
ACM
60%
24%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
BAR
3 - 4
SSS
59%
27%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
GEN
2 - 0
BAR
54%
28%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAM
55%
28%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAR
40%
33%
28%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
BAR
1 - 0
TAR
60%
26%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |