Milan vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
FIO
0 - 3
ACM
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
ACM
4 - 0
USA
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1947 |
ACM
3 - 0
TRI
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
BOL
1 - 2
ACM
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ACM
51%
23%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
TOR
2 - 1
BAR
85%
10%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
BAR
2 - 0
ROM
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1946 |
TRI
0 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
INT
3 - 1
BAR
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 0
BOL
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |