Milan vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1946 |
INT
0 - 1
ACM
68%
18%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1946 |
JUV
3 - 1
ACM
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1946 |
ACM
1 - 0
LIV
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1946 |
ROM
2 - 2
ACM
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 0
TOR
37%
24%
40%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 0
ROM
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1946 |
LIV
3 - 0
BAR
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 2
TOR
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1946 |
INT
0 - 0
BAR
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1946 |
NAP
4 - 0
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |