Milan vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 0
ACM
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
ACM
3 - 1
INT
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
ACM
0 - 1
ROM
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
ACM
2 - 0
MOD
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOV
53%
22%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
BAR
2 - 2
BOL
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
LIV
3 - 0
BAR
47%
24%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
BAR
0 - 0
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |