Milan vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
TRI
0 - 0
ACM
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
ACM
0 - 0
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
NAP
0 - 1
ACM
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
ACM
2 - 2
SAM
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
INT
1 - 1
ACM
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
BAR
1 - 0
ROM
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
SAM
2 - 0
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
BAR
4 - 1
NOV
59%
20%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
TRI
1 - 1
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
BAR
1 - 1
FIO
38%
24%
37%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |