Milan vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
FIO
3 - 1
ACM
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
ACM
2 - 2
INT
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
USA
6 - 1
ACM
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
ACM
1 - 2
SAM
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRI
54%
22%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAL
54%
21%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BAR
68%
17%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
BAR
2 - 0
TOR
41%
23%
37%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
BAR
2 - 1
INT
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |