Milan vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 1
ACM
32%
24%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1933 |
ACM
0 - 0
LAZ
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
BOL
2 - 2
ACM
71%
17%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
BAR
2 - 0
PRO
54%
21%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
LEO
4 - 2
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
TOR
6 - 3
BAR
83%
11%
7%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
BAR
2 - 3
INT
19%
21%
61%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
TRI
0 - 0
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |