Milan vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 1
ACM
24%
27%
50%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1985 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1985 |
ACM
0 - 1
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1985 |
ACM
1 - 1
INT
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
REG
1 - 4
UDI
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
REG
0 - 0
CAG
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1984 |
REG
0 - 1
ROM
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1984 |
ROM
2 - 0
REG
85%
10%
5%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
REG
2 - 1
CAR
62%
20%
19%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |