Milan vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ACM
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 0
PAL
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
COM
1 - 0
ACM
30%
29%
42%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 1
PRG
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
USC
3 - 3
ACM
30%
29%
41%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
LEC
2 - 1
REG
59%
26%
15%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
REG
0 - 0
LAZ
40%
30%
30%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
USC
1 - 1
REG
61%
25%
14%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
REG
2 - 1
USF
61%
25%
14%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
REG
0 - 0
ATL
61%
26%
13%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |