Milan vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
18.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
LIV
0 - 2
ACM
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
ACM
2 - 1
INT
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ACM
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
ACM
3 - 2
ACL
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
TOR
1 - 0
ACM
64%
19%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
ACP
0 - 4
REG
31%
22%
47%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
ASL
1 - 2
REG
41%
22%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
REG
2 - 3
FAN
87%
9%
5%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
REG
1 - 1
BRE
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
REG
2 - 1
PAR
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |