Milan vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
RIM
2 - 2
ACM
23%
28%
49%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
ACM
1 - 1
LAZ
67%
22%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
ACM
0 - 1
PIS
75%
18%
7%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
CES
0 - 0
ACM
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
ACM
4 - 0
TAR
74%
19%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
BAR
3 - 0
ASS
65%
24%
11%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
ASS
0 - 1
VAR
55%
26%
19%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 0
ASS
59%
27%
15%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
ASS
3 - 2
ATL
56%
29%
15%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ASS
72%
19%
8%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |