Milan vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
ACM
3 - 0
GEN
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
INT
3 - 0
ACM
56%
21%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
ACM
3 - 3
ATL
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
PAL
1 - 4
ACM
26%
24%
50%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
NAP
0 - 1
ACM
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
UNI
2 - 1
TRI
52%
22%
26%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
ATL
4 - 1
UNI
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
UNI
1 - 1
JUV
24%
22%
53%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
SAM
3 - 1
UNI
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
UNI
1 - 3
SPA
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |