Milan vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
MOD
3 - 0
ACM
34%
23%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
ACM
1 - 0
BRE
64%
18%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
LEO
0 - 2
ACM
44%
22%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
ACM
1 - 2
BOL
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
INT
1 - 1
ACM
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
UNI
0 - 1
TOR
17%
19%
64%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
JUV
1 - 0
UNI
81%
12%
7%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
PRO
2 - 0
UNI
71%
16%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
UNI
1 - 0
USA
37%
25%
39%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
BRE
2 - 1
UNI
69%
16%
15%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |