Milan vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ACM
1 - 1
UDI
58%
22%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NAP
3 - 1
ACM
32%
28%
40%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 2
ACM
82%
13%
6%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 2
LAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 1
JUV
65%
21%
15%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
CES
1 - 2
LAZ
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 0
CES
60%
24%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CES
1 - 3
NAP
26%
26%
47%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CES
1 - 0
ASC
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 2
CES
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |