Milan vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
TAR
3 - 0
ACM
21%
29%
50%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
VIC
1 - 1
ACM
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
ACM
1 - 1
USF
72%
19%
9%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
ACM
2 - 1
SPA
72%
20%
8%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACM
19%
29%
52%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
CES
2 - 2
RIM
70%
21%
10%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
CAT
1 - 0
CES
34%
33%
33%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
BAR
0 - 0
CES
45%
30%
25%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
CES
2 - 0
ASS
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
TAR
1 - 2
CES
43%
32%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |