Milan vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
ACM
1 - 0
REG
87%
9%
4%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 1
ACM
24%
27%
50%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1985 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1985 |
ACM
0 - 1
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
ARZ
3 - 0
CAG
43%
29%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
ARZ
1 - 1
GEN
35%
30%
35%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
UDI
1 - 0
ARZ
88%
8%
4%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
PIS
1 - 1
ARZ
60%
26%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
ARZ
1 - 0
CAM
43%
32%
25%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |